End User
CPO
Description
The Wave Power Generation Short-Term Forecasting service delivers AI-enabled short-term forecasts of electrical power generation for offshore wave energy assets, covering horizons from 0 to 48 hours ahead. Using historical generation data, real-time telemetry, and environmental conditions from the Aguçadoura test site in Portugal, the service supports operational planning, grid balancing, and market participation of offshore renewable energy assets.
Core Capabilities
Predictive & Prescriptive Analytics
Business Need
Wave energy assets operate in highly variable marine environments where generation uncertainty makes operational planning, grid balancing, and market participation challenging. Asset owners, operators, aggregators, and system operators require reliable short-term forecasts to anticipate generation variability, manage dispatch decisions, schedule maintenance, and participate in energy trading. The service provides the forecasting foundation for economically and operationally viable wave energy integration.
Key Performance Indicators
Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) vs. measured generation
API availability and response time under operational conditions
Robustness to data quality issues and incomplete telemetry
Forecast accuracy across different wave climate conditions
Data Provided
Time-indexed hourly power generation forecasts (P50) with traceability metadata over 0-48h horizon
Inputs: wave height, period, direction (buoy), wind speed/direction (weather station), SCADA data, NWP models
TEF
TEF RES